Singapore's private property market experienced robust growth but was muted midway by property cooling measures. We list down the key highlights in our 2018 property market roundups and our outlook for 2019.

​By Khalil Adis

Singapore's private property market saw a steep rebound from the fourth quarter of 2017 after many quarters of decline in its Property Price Index (PPI) since the fourth quarter of 2013.

Figures from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) showed that the Lion City's PPI surged by 11.0 points from 138.7 in the fourth quarter of 2017 to 149.7 points in the third quarter of 2018.

However, the market softened from July onwards post the new property cooling measures.

Here are the top five property market roundups for 2018 and our top five outlooks for 2019.

Roundups:
#1: En-bloc fever 

Singapore's property market was off to a fiery start with several collective sales deal that was concluded during the first half of the year.

They included the iconic Pearl Bank Apartments which was sold for S$728 million sales to CapitaLand and Park West which was sold for S$840.89 million to SingHaiyi Gold Pte Ltd.

Data from Cushman & Wakefield Inc showed that the collective sales market recorded S$3.8 billion of en-bloc transactions in the second quarter.

#2: New property cooling measures introduced

To douse the red-hot residential property market, the government announced a slew of property cooling measures in July.

This included increasing the Additional Buyer's Stamp Duty (ABSD) rates and tightening loan-to-value (LTV) limits on residential property purchases.

The new ABSD rates and LTV limits are as above.

As a result, the collective sales market declined with S$353 million worth of transactions recorded in the third quarter, data from Cushman & Wakefield Inc showed.

#3: Industrial property market picks up steam

While Singapore's residential property sector has taken quite a hit, its industrial and commercial property sectors are seeing an uptrend in investment sales.

According to data from Cushman & Wakefield Inc, industrial property deals soared 73 per cent to S$1.2 billion in the third quarter while office sales increased by 54 per cent to S$2.1 billion.

Meanwhile, Jones Lang Lasalle Singapore, citing data from JTC statistics said islandwide all-industrial rental correction stayed modest at 0.1 per cent quarter-on-quarter for three consecutive quarters since the fourth quarter of 2017, while the second quarter of 2018 all-industrial price index flat-lined for the first time since trending down in the third quarter of 2014.

#4: HDB resale values are declining

HDB is a hot bread and butter issue among Singaporeans as 80 per cent of the population lives in public housing flat.

Public interest in HDB dominated the headlines in 2018 as government officials warned that their values could decline, especially those that are more than 40 years with around 50 years left on their 99-year lease.

This marked a stark contrast during Lee Kuan Yew's era when he assured Singaporeans that HDB flats are an asset.

Property agents who specialise in HDB flats in mature estates such as Toa Payoh say they are already seeing prices of older resale flats declining as many buyers are staying clear from such properties following the ongoing debate. 

For example, according to the third quarter data from the HDB in 2018, a 3-bedroom flat in the estate was transacted for S$279, 000.

In contrast, the median price during the same period in 2016 was transacted for S$300,000.

Having said that, other factors do come into play such as the supply of new Built-to-Order (BTO) flats which has influenced the resale price.

However, until the government addresses the uncertainty surrounding older estates, we are likely to see the values declining as it is very much influenced by market sentiment.

#5: Widening price gap between a private property and an HDB flat

While the private property market has seen the price index picking up by some 11.0 points, the HDB Resale Price Index (RPI) has been on a decline.

According to data from the HDB, the RPI has been on a decline since the second quarter of 2013 as it continues to launch BTO flats in the market.

This is the biggest price gap in over 10 years and will likely be a contentious issue when the general election is expected to be called in 2019.

Predictions:
#1: HDB to become a hot-button issue

2019 is expected to be an election year.

As such, HDB will be a hot-button issue as 80 per cent of the population lives in HDB flats.

As we have discussed above, HDB resale prices are already on the decline while the price gap between a private property and an HDB flat has widened considerably.

The government will need to address the ongoing debate on the value of older HDB flats moving forward.

#2: Fewer BTO flats to be launched 

In November, the HDB said it launched 7,214 flats for sale under the Build-To-Order (BTO) and Sale of Balance Flats (SBF) exercise. 

This comprises 3,802 BTO units and 3,412 SBF units across various towns estates such as Sembawang, Sengkang, Tengah, Yishun and Tampines.

However, there will be fewer units being offered in the next BTO launch exercise in February 2019.

The HDB said it will offer about 3,100 flats in Jurong West, Kallang Whampoa and Sengkang.

#3: A sellers' market

With fewer BTO flats on the offering, this could possibly divert some of the buyers to the resale market and prop up the resale prices which have been falling since the second quarter of 2013.

As such 2019 could likely be a sellers' market.

Sellers should watch the market closely while buyers should opt for a BTO quickly.

#4: Five growth areas

​As outlined in the URA Master Plan 2014, the five growth areas are located at Woodlands Regional Centre, Jurong Lake District, City Centre, Paya Lebar Central and Punggol Digital District.

Woodlands Regional Centre will be a transportation hub which will connect the Thomson-East Coast Line (TEL) to the Johor-Singapore Rapid Transit System (RTS) via Woodlands North MRT station.

Meanwhile, Jurong Lake District will house the High Speed Rail station linking Singapore to Kuala Lumpur in 90 minutes flat.

The development of the project has been postponed to two years and will now commence construction in 2020 instead of 2018. 

Meanwhile, the express service will only commence by 1 January 2031 instead of 31 December 2026, as originally planned.

You can read more about URA Master Plan 2014 here.

#5: Opening of TEL will provide a price booster for properties along the line

The TEL is a 43km MRT Line that will add 31 new stations to the existing rail network, with 7 interchange stations.

It will link to the East-West Line, North-South Line, North-East Line, Circle Line and the Downtown Line. 

Spanning from Woodlands North to Sungei Bedok, the line will be opened in stages next year.

Stage one will comprise stations from Woodlands North to Woodlands South.

As such, properties in the Woodland Regional Centre as highlighted above will be among the first to enjoy the price booster when the stations commence service next year.

This will definitely be much to cheer about in the north amid the muted HDB resale market.

​2018 is a watershed moment for Malaysia's politics and the subsequent impact on the property market. We list down the key highlights in our 2018 property market roundups and our outlook for 2019.

By Khalil Adis

May 10 2018 was a watershed moment in Malaysia as it marked the first change of government in the country's history.

Since 1957, it had enjoyed an uninterrupted reign from the ruling Barisan Nasional (BN) coalition.

However, the high cost of living, falling Ringgit, the lack of affordable homes in the market, high unemployment among fresh graduates, the unfettered check on power and the 1MDB scandal proved to be the undoing for BN as Malaysians far and wide casted their protest vote in the ballot box

The message from Malaysians is clear - they have had enough and want a new, clean government to lead the way.

With the Pakatan Harapan government now in power, all eyes are on the newly elected old Prime Minister Tun Mahathir Mohamad and his team to solve the pressing bread and butter issues.

Here are the top five property market roundups for 2018 and our top five outlooks for 2019.

Roundups
#1: Demand-supply mismatch has resulted in an increasing number of unsold homes

​According to Bank Negara, 80 per cent of homes or 146,196 units priced above RM250,000 remained unsold as of end March 2018. 

In comparison, 130,690 units were unsold during the same period last year.

"Imbalances observed in the property market continue to persist," Bank Negara had said in a statement.

#2: Rent-to-own scheme being rolled out

To help ease the entry for the first time property buyers, the private sector has come up with a few initiatives.

Some private developers like Ayer Holdings have introduced a ‘Stay & Own' scheme for their Epic Residence and Foreston projects whereby part of the rent will be converted to the downpayment.

This not only provides a temporary solution for those who urgently need a home but also a form of security.

Meanwhile, Maybank has rolled a similar initiative called HouzKEY which they have called as "a rent-to-own solution that helps you to own your dream home."

The scheme involves zero per cent downpayment with the monthly rental forming part of the home financing. 

#3: Ministry of Housing and Local Government studying Singapore's HDB model

In July, Zuraida Kamaruddin, the Minister of Housing and Local Government paid an official visit to Singapore to study the HDB model.

Singapore has succeeded to build demand driven homes under its Built-to-Order (BTO) scheme to house 80 per cent of the Singapore population.

This is especially useful in Malaysia where there is currently a demand-supply mismatch as in point number one.

#4: Malaysia looking into having a single housing government agency

In Malaysia, there are so many affordable housing programmes being rolled out by the state and federal governments such as Rumah Milik Mampu, Rumah Selangorku, PR1MA, My First Home, Program Perumaha Rakyat and the list goes on.

This confuses the public.

The Malaysian government is currently looking into having a single housing agency to streamline the whole process much like the HDB model.

If implemented, this could solve the current Malaysian housing woe.

#5: More help for the B40, M40 and first-time homebuyers under Budget 2019

More help is on the way for these group of property buyers as announced under Budget 2019.

The measures included the Real Estate and Housing Developers' Association (Rehda) agreement to cut prices by 10 per cent for new launches, the exemption of the Real Property Gains Tax (RPGT) for properties that are priced below RM200,000 and the stamp duty exemption for properties priced in the first RM300,000 up to RM500,000 as well as those priced from RM300,000 to RM1 million.

Outlook for 2019 
#1: Affordable homes to continue driving the market

​There is currently a strong pent-up demand for affordable homes but where the supply is lacking.

As such, the affordable home segment will continue to be in strong demand for 2019.

However, there needs to be concerted efforts from both the government and private developers.

Under Budget 2019, the federal government has pledged to spend RM1.5 billion on such homes via the 1Malaysia People's Housing (PR1MA) and Syarikat Perumahan Negara Bhd (SPNB).

Meanwhile, Rehda has agreed to cut prices as stated above.

#2: South KL to be the growth area

There are many infrastructure projects and economic drivers that are in the pipeline that will further boost property prices in Southern KL.

One such project is Bandar Malaysia will serve as the terminus station for the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore High Speed Rail (KL-Singapore HSR) project linking both cities in 90 minutes flat. 

The development for the project has been postponed to two years and will now commence construction in 2020 instead of 2018. 

Meanwhile, the express service will only commence by 1 January 2031 instead of 31 December 2026, as originally planned.

Bandar Malaysia has been designated as a site for the Digital Free Trade Zone (DFTZ) initiative by Jack Ma. Home to the Satellite Services Hub, DFTZ is expected to create some 60,000 direct and indirect jobs. It will also possibly serve as the interchange to the MRT Line 3, which has now been postponed.

Another economic driver in the vicinity is Tun Razak Exchange (TRX). 

TRX will be a mixed-use development comprising a Grade A office space as well as residential and commercial precincts. 

To be developed in several phases over a period of 15 years, the first phase will comprise four investment grade A office towers, a lifestyle retail mall, two 5-star hotels and up to six luxurious residential towers with a target completion date by 2019.

In addition, Bandar Malaysia will house two MRT stations - Bandar Malaysia North and Bandar Malaysia South which will form part of the alignment for the Sungai Buloh - Serdang - Putrajaya Line (SSP Line).

#3: Properties along Sungai Buloh - Serdang - Putrajaya Line (SSP Line) will  be sought after

Speaking of the SSP Line, properties along the alignment, particularly those situated in the growth areas of Sungai Besi, Bandar Malaysia and Cyberjaya City Centre are worth looking into.

Bandar Malaysia will house two MRT stations as stated above and located a few stops away from Tun Razak Exchange MRT station.

Meanwhile, Sungai Besi MRT station is an interchange station to the Sungai Besi LRT station. 

It will serve as an interchange to the upcoming High Speed Rail station located in Bandar Malaysia, also in Sungai Besi. 

Last but not least,  Cyberjaya City Centre MRT station is a transit-oriented development (TOD) project to be developed by Malaysian Resources Corp Bhd (MRCB). 

With its experience in building the transport hub in KL Sentral, MRCB will be developing a new city that will be integrated with the MRT station. 

Phase one is expected to generate a gross development value (GDV) of RM5.35 billion. 

It will feature a 200,000 sq ft convention centre, a 300- to 400-room business hotel, low and high-rise office buildings and a retail podium. Cyberjaya City Centre will have a development plan spanning 20 years. 

The MRT station is located just opposite Lim Kok Wing University of Creative Technology.
 
#4: Penang to get a boost from Phase 1 of Penang Transport Master Plan (PTMP)

With Lim Guan Eng as Malaysia's Finance Minister, Penang's property market will get a further boost.

Just this month, Phase 1 of PTMP was approved.

It will comprise the Bayan Lepas Light Rail Transit (LRT) project, Pan Island Link 1 (PIL1) project and several main highways.

The proposed Bayan Lepas LRT line will be about 30 km in length with 27 stations running from KOMTAR to the future reclaimed islands in the south.

There will be three interchange stations - KOMTAR, Sky Cab Station linking it to the Sky Cab line across the Malacca Straits and The Light Station linking it to the George Town-Butterworth LRT line.

The LRT Line will also be integrated with the Sungai Nibong Express Bus Terminal at the Sungai Nibong Station.

Meanwhile, PIL 1 is a new 20km highway that will be aligned along the mountainous terrain of the island and will take around 15 minutes from between Gurney Drive to the Second Bridge.

There will be six interchanges in all - Dr Lim Chong Eu Expressway (LCE), Awang, Relau, Paya Terubong, Utama and Gurney.

#5: Johor Bahru to get a boost from the Rapid Transit System (RTS) Link

​Meanwhile, over in the southern state of Johor, Iskandar Malaysia's muted property market will get a boost as the RTS Link will commence construction next year.

The RTS Link will link Bukit Chagar station in Johor Bahru to Woodlands North MRT station in Singapore when completed in 2024.

There are also plans for a Bus Rapid Transit (BRT) system within Bukit Chagar station to link it to the different areas of Iskandar Malaysia.

The BRT will feature a dedicated bus lane with three lines -  BRT Line 1 will span from Bukit Chagar to Tebrau, BRT Line 2 from Bukit Chagar to Senai and finally, BRT Line 3  from Bukit Chagar to Iskandar Puteri.

However, based on market talk in the ground, there is a possibility that the BRT system will be upgraded to an LRT system instead.

A cautionary property tale of joint tenancy, abuse and escaping to a safe haven.
By Khalil Adis​

It is hard to believe a family member that I initially grew up with can turn out to be so abusive.

My parents had divorced and as a result, we were living with our guardians.

My mom and I lived with an uncle while the other family member, was sent to live with another uncle, owing to her very difficult behaviour.

We then got a flat together in Taman Jurong where I was living my mom and this other family member when I was around 18-years-old. 

I remember thinking - “Finally! We have a place to call our own.”

However, little did I know this family member would turn out to become a monster.

The first instance of abuse occurred when I was kicked out of home at 21-years-old.

I recall having my bag thrown out of the house and living temporarily at the police station where I was posted at for my national service.

Back then, I did not know any property laws and did not know any better.​

I then rented a place for a while near to Admiralty MRT station.

To pay for my rent, I would give tuition.

The subsequent abuse happened in 2014 when the family member came back with her family after having lived overseas.

My mom and I were on the constant receiving end of abuse, bullying and threats to kick us out of our family home.

Mind you, I was paying for the mortgage and taking care of my mom.​

Things got so bad that my mom and I had to lodge a police report and sought help from my MP Tharman Shanmugaratnam.

Thankfully, I now have my own home and a safe place for my mom and I away from the abuser.

I subsequently dedicated Property Buying for Gen Y to my MP.

Complications of joint tenancy

The Ministry of Social and Family Development defines violence as physical injury, direct or indirect threats, sexual assault, emotional and psychological torment, damage to property, social isolation or any behaviour which causes a person to live in fear.

My mom and I have experienced some of those forms of abuse described.

While it is hard to believe that your own flesh and blood can turn their back against you, family violence is very real.

In closing, it is my hope by sharing this cautionary tale that others in a similar situation will be spared the agony of what my mom and I have had to endure.

If you have a family member who is abusive or know a family who is being abused, do not hesitate to call the authorities. You can find out more at Break The Silence.

By Khalil Adis

Ask any young Malaysians and chances are many are still unsure if they can buy their first home. 

Their lack of knowledge, financial literacy, inability to get a loan and the lack of supply of such homes across Malaysia are further exacerbating the Malaysian housing issue.

From Johor to Kuala Lumpur, there is currently a demand-supply mismatch whereby most new launches in the market are priced above RM500,000.

This is far beyond what the average Malaysian can afford.

According to the first quarter of 2018 data from the National Property and Information Centre (NAPIC), Selangor has the highest number of existing stock of residential units followed by Johor and Kuala Lumpur at 1,516,960, 795,363 and 471,475 units respectively.

With Budget 2019 to be announced in November, perhaps the Malaysian government can take a cue from Singapore how the city-state is able to house 80 per cent of its population.

Step 1: Have a single affordable housing agency

In Singapore, there is only one government agency called the Housing & Development Board (HDB) which is tasked to provide affordable housing for every Singaporean.

In comparison, in Malaysia, there are so many affordable housing programmes being rolled out by the state and federal governments such as Rumah Milik Mampu, Rumah Selangorku, PR1MA, My First Home, Program Perumaha Rakyat and the list goes on.

This confuses the public.

The government should consolidate the affordable housing segment under one single government agency much like the HDB model.

Recently, Zuraida Kamaruddin, the Minister of Housing and Local Government, was in Singapore to study the HDB model.

By having it under one government agency umbrella, this will enable the federal government to better gauge demand from the public.

This leads to the next point.

Step 2: Build demand-driven homes

​In Singapore, the HDB builds homes that are demand-driven called the Built-to-Order (BT0) scheme.

The public is then invited to apply for the various homes that are on offer in different parts of Singapore.

By doing so, this enables the HDB to gauge demand from the public and allocate homes using a balloting system.

The balloting system will then inform applicants of the status of their application.

If Malaysia were to follow such a system, this will help to solve the current demand-supply mismatch in the market and build homes according to demand.

Step 3: Introduce grants and subsidies

In Singapore, a first-time applicant can enjoy a housing grant called the Additional CPF Housing Grant (AHG) and Special CPF Housing Grant (SHG) of up to S$40,000 depending on one's household income.

To qualify for the AHG, applicants must apply for a 2-room flat or larger with an income ceiling of S$5,000 per month,

Applicants must also be employed at the time of application and be at least in employment for the past one year during the housing application.

On top of that applicants must not be an owner of any other properties in Singapore or overseas.

Applicants can also qualify for additional grants under the SHG here or if they live close to their parents.

By introducing such grants, it lowers the entry price to buy a home.

Likewise, if similar grants are introduced in Malaysia, it will mean more Malaysians can afford to buy their first home.

You can read more about the scheme here:

Think about it.

Step 4: Introduce housing loans direct from the housing ministry

In Singapore, most Singaporeans will opt to get a loan directly from the HDB which gives a concessionary interest rate at 2.6 per cent. 

This means, regardless of the economy, the interest rate will remain the same unlike taking a bank loan.

In addition, the HDB is more compassionate if say, one is unable to service their loans.

The HDB will still require you to pay your monthly mortgage but will work out a plan that will ensure you will still have a roof over your head.

However, banks are less forgiving when you take a bank loan and will not hesitate to repossess your flat if you do not pay your mortgages on time.

In Malaysia, applicants must apply for a bank loan.

However, due to non-payment of PTPTN as well as bad credit, some applicants find their loans being rejected.

Perhaps, a way to get around it is to have a housing loan disbursed by the housing ministry with its own set of rules similar to the HDB. 

Step 5: Introduce a rent-to-own scheme (for those who can't afford downpayment)

While there is no rent-to-own scheme in Singapore, this mode of housing ownership is getting popular in Malaysia.

For example, Ayer Holding introduced a ‘Stay & Own' scheme for their Epic Residence and Foreston projects whereby part of the rent will be converted to the downpayment.

This not only provides a temporary solution for those who urgently need a home but also a form of security 

You can read more about the scheme here: