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By Khalil Adis
Aerial view of KLCC. Expect a bumpy ride in 2019 for the Malaysian property market. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
This represents an increase of 48.35 per cent.
Meanwhile, the total value was RM19.54 billion, representing a 56.44 per cent rise from RM12.49 billion a year ago.
However, if JPPH were to also include serviced apartments and small offices home offices (SoHos), this would bring their overhang value to 40,916 units valued at RM27.38 billion.
According to JPPH, Johor has the largest number of unsold completed serviced apartments and SoHo units at 7,714.
JPPH notes that it rose a whopping 191 per cent from the 2,647 units recorded a year ago.
The overhang in serviced apartments is valued at RM6.16 billion compared with its residential overhang of RM4.44 billion.
This means the total overall value of its unsold serviced apartments is 1.5 times that of residential housing.
In summary, Johor has the highest number of completed unsold units in Malaysia at 6,053.
This is a 55 per cent increase from the 3.901 units a year ago.
With an overhang in supply spanning from Johor to Selangor, here are some of the likely property trends to emerge next year.
#1: Renter’s market
Johor's housing market will offer the best deals for rent-seekers as it has the highest number of completed units in Malaysia. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
This is because rent-seekers will be spoilt for choice while landlords will be fighting for tenants.
This will make it ideal for rent-seekers as landlords will most likely be open for price negotiations.
Meanwhile, it is bad news for landlords should they be able to find a tenant or not.
In the former, the rental will most likely not be able to cover the mortgage resulting in negative cash flow.
In the latter, landlords will have to cover the mortgage themselves.
Those who cannot will have no choice but the let go of their units.
#2: Buyer’s market
Melia Residences by UEM Sunrise. Buyers will be spoilt for choice in 2019. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Therefore, buyers will be in a more stronger position to bargain in a market flooded with so many units.
#4: Buy properties in the secondary market
Country Garden in Danga Bay. There are a lot of good deals in the secondary market right now in Iskandar Malaysia. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Sellers are also more willing to negotiate on the terms of payment and will likely cut a flexible payment deal via their agents if you do not have a sufficient deposit in hand.
In addition, the supply overhang also mean that properties in the secondary market are priced 20 to 30 per cent cheaper than new launches.
However, do bear in mind that you need to pay a 10 per cent deposit.
#5: Overhang in supply means good deals in the auction market
High-end condominiums in KLCC. There are plenty of below market values in the auction market right now. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
If you are looking for a below market value (BMV) property, then this will present a very good opportunity for you.
When buying a BMV, you will need to attend an auction in court and prepare a bank draft in advance to show of interest.
This will cost you around 10 per cent of the reserve price.
For example, if the property is being auctioned off at RM50,000, you will need to prepare RM5,000 in bank draft.
If you have successfully bid for the property, you will need to settle the balance of the payment within 120 days.
However, there are a lot of hidden costs, for example, legal, quit rent (cukai pintu), unpaid utilities and maintenance fees, assessments and so on.
Perhaps, the biggest risk is this - while the property is legally yours, you may find it hard to evict the tenants or owners.
You may have to apply for a court order, through a lawyer, to evict the occupants.
This process can take you up to four weeks and costs you between RM1,500 to RM2,000. Even so, there are no guarantees they can be evicted as Malaysian laws favour occupiers.
When buying a BMV property, it is best to find out if the property is occupied by tenants or owners.
#6: It also means good deals from the primary market
Aerial view of One Cochrane Residences. The primary market will also be a good area to focus on for investors. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
As such, developers will be coming up with creative schemes like zero downpayment and such to lure buyers.
Speak to a good developer and check if they have a good master plan to ensure your property values are protected.
Remember the 5Cs I always talk about?
Check against them before you commit to buying a property,
#7: More restrictions on Airbnb accommodations
Amansari by UMLand located in Johor Bahru. This property type falls under commercial title. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
This is because we are seeing trends of management committees barring Airbnb-type of accommodation due to security and safety issues.
So before you decide to list your untenanted unit on Airbnb, it is best to check with your management committee if this is allowed.
However, if you happen to own a serviced apartment, this will not be an issue as it falls under a commercial title.
#8: Transit-oriented developments (TODs) along SSP Line
Sungai Besi Highway. Sungai Besi is a growth area in Southern KL. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
In fact, the project is currently under construction and is fast taking shape.
Some developers have already acquired land banks along this line to build TODs.
Areas to watch out for include Kwasa Damansara, Kwasa Sentral, Sungai Besi, Bandar Malaysia and Cyberjaya City Centre
- Published on
By Khalil Adis
JB offers a myriad of entertainment options and value-for-money deals. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy
Home to Zam Zam Restaurant, the historic Sultan mosque, bars and restaurants, Kampong Glam is a popular hangout destination among locals and tourists alike.
However, since the banning of shisha in July 2016, the area has lost its lustre as many businesses were affected.
One in particular, called Cafe Le Caire, was a popular watering hole but is now no longer in operation.
What still remains are the textile and carpet shops.
With one less entertainment outlet in Singapore, JB's heritage area is fast coming up as a viable alternative.
Once associated with sleaze, Jalan Dhoby is now home to a number of hip establishments which are popular among the young and the young-at-heart.
In addition, the shophouses are decorated with funky street art almost reminiscent of Georgetown's.
With two weeks shy of 2019, here are our top picks to explore within JB's heritage area.
#1: Restoran Hua Mui
No.131, Jalan Trus, Johor Bahru, 80000 Johor Bahru, Malaysia
Restoran Hua Mui is located within the heritage area and is very popular among Johoreans. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Unfortunately, it gets especially busy during lunchtime and that is when service standards drop.
I would recommend coming here to have your breakfast instead before exploring the rest of the heritage area.
The chicken and eggs sandwiches come highly recommended with a dollop of Lingham's Chilli Sauce.
#2: Explore the pre-war shophouses at Jalan Trus
Street murals that adorn the pre-war shophouses. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
There is also a shop here that sells vintage clothing and apparels.
Whichever you decide to check out, the shophouses here will certainly appeal to photography buffs and those looking to update your #ootd Instagram shots.
Who knows? You might just find an outfit at the boutique here!
#3: Hiap Joo Bakery
13, Jalan Tan Hiok Nee, Johor Bahru, 80000 Johor Bahru, Malaysia
Come early to stock up on your coconut buns as they tend to run out very fast. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Renowned for their coconut buns and freshly made banana cakes, many locals make a beeline for them in the morning.
In fact, their coconut and kaya buns are so popular that they usually run out by noon.
What makes Hiap Joo Bakery authentic is its old-school method of cake-baking which it inherited from its former British owner.
All the cakes and buns are baked in a classic wooden kiln which leaves them with a unique charcoal aftertaste.
If you still can't get enough of its freshly made cakes and buns, fret not!
You can buy its very own kaya spread to savour it from the comfort of your home.
#4: IT Roo Cafe
17, Jalan Dhoby, Johor Bahru, 80000 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia
Get ready to whet your appetite with the delicious chicken chop servings. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Touting itself as having "the best chicken chop in town", you can choose to have it either grilled or fried with a choice of mushroom or black pepper sauce.
The dish comes complete with a serving of coleslaw and fries.
Aside from its signature dish, IT Roo Cafe also serves up popular local dishes like fried rice and noodles.
Be sure to arrive early as it can be difficult to get a seat during the lunch hour.
#5: Chaiwala & Co. Container Cafe
Lot 2180 Jalan Tan Hiok Nee, Johor Bahru, 80000 Johor Bahru Johor, Malaysia
Embark on a tea and coffee adventure at Chaiwalla & Co. Photo: http://chaiwallaandco.blogspot.com
In fact, it has spawned a number of copycats within its immediate vicinity making it a draw among photographers and hipsters alike.
Some of its signature drinks include Thai milk tea and Vietnamese coffee served hot or chilled.
You can even customise your drinks with a base comprising either tea, milk tea, coffee, fresh milk or smoothie with a range of flavours.
The only drawback is there is no wifi here so it is best to stick to taking your Instagram shots.
#6: Cafe Al-Fayeed
Off Jalan Pahang, Johor Bahru, 80000 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia
A waiter attending to customers at Cafe Al-Fayeed. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Well, look no further than Cafe Al-Fayeed which is also located within walking distance.
Prepared by tattoed servers with technicoloured dyed hair, there are many flavours to choose from with an option to have it served with ice at just RM11!
Cafe Al-Fayeed also serves up popular side dishes such as fries to go along with your shisha.
For those who prefer a heartier portion, the cafe also offers a wide selection of Western and local dishes at very reasonable prices.
Music can get a tad bit loud with popular hip-hop tunes and EDM club bangers blaring from the speakers.
#7: Santai2
Santai2 will make you feel immediately at ease with their congenial staff. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Offering foot massage and traditional Malay urut, Santai2 is a welcome respite after all those walking.
Foot massage starts from around RM45 while a full body traditional Malay urut is priced from RM65.
Both male and female therapists are available.
#8: Pasar Karat
Jalan Segget, Bandar Johor Bahru, 80000 Johor Bahru, Johor, Malaysia
Get ready to have your mane perfectly coiffed with a wide range of pomades at your disposal. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Pasar Karat, which means rusty market, comes alive from 7 pm onwards and attracts a strong Johorean crowd.
Selling just about anything from exotic pets to Malay kuehs, the night market gets especially busy during Ramadan as many would throng the market as they gear up for Hari Raya Aidilfitri.
- Published on
By Khalil Adis
View of the Tuas Second Link to Johor. Singapore and Malaysia are currently embroiled in a maritime dispute in the Straits of Johor. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
In fact, it is like watching history repeating itself.
Growing up during the Lee Kuan Yew era, I recall how both countries would often trade barbs over water to territorial issues.
The relationship between both countries is best described as testy then.
However, much like brothers and sisters, we would soon kiss and make up.
Post the Lee Kuan Yew-Mahathir era, bilateral ties between both countries warmed up significantly under the leadership of Lee Hsien Loong and Mahathir's successors, Abdullah Badawi and Najib Razak.
While the later remains highly unpopular among Malaysians, several win-win deals were concluded between both countries which arose from the land swap deal.
They included the joint development of DUO in Bugis and Marina One by M + S Pte Ltd (Malaysia and Singapore, in case you don't know)
Over in Iskandar Malaysia, Singapore agreed to develop two wellness centre called Afiniti Medini and Avira.
Subsequently, CapitaLand invested in A2 Danga Island.
Until today, the project has yet to be launched.
With bilateral relations going from cold to warm and back again to cold, we analyse how this will impact the property market across the causeway.
#1: Investors will likely adopt a ‘wait-and-see' approach to Iskandar Malaysia
Horizon Hills in Iskandar Puteri. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
I recall covering a few stories on Iskandar Malaysia then where I had interviewed several Singaporeans.
During that time, many had expressed scepticism on Iskandar Malaysia and avoided buying a property at Horizon Hills.
Back then, it was then launched within the minimum investment threshold of RM250,000.
However, that changed once the land swap deal was concluded in 2010.
As our bilateral ties improved, so did investors' confidence.
As a result, properties in Iskandar Puteri and Medini began selling like hot cakes.
Meanwhile, units at Horizon Hills was transacted at almost three times the launch price as developments at Legoland Theme Park, EduCity and Puter Harbour were gathering pace.
With both countries now embroiled in a maritime dispute, investors are most likely to adopt a similar approach until the issue is resolved
#2: Market sentiment in Iskandar Malaysia the most affected
Aerial view of Leisure Farm Resort in Iskandar Puteri. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Logically, this makes Iskandar Malaysia much more attractive due to its close proximity to Singapore as we share many similar customs, culture and speak similar languages.
However, the property market is very much sentiment driven as described above.
With Iskandar Malaysia being the closest to Singapore, this will be the property market that will be the most affected.
#3: Developers will face an uphill task in marketing their units
A unit for sale at a condominium in Danga Bay. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
According to the first quarter of 2018 data from the National Property and Information Centre (NAPIC), Johor has the second highest number of existing stock of residential units at 795,363 in Malaysia.
The current political climate will no doubt be a double whammy for developers who are already struggling to move unsold units in their inventory.
With the High Speed Rail project now postponed, only the brand name of the developer will be able to win investors' confidence.
As such, developers who have a good reputation among Singaporeans and local buyers will stand to win.
Word-of-mouth marketing will be the way forward.
#4: Possible spillover impact in tourism and retail sectors
Johor Bahru City Square is a popular mall among Malaysians and Singaporeans. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
Thus, December is typically a busy month at the checkpoints as many Singaporeans go for a short break to Johor and beyond.
As the tension escalates, Singaporeans are likely to stay away this holiday season unless absolutely necessary.
In such a scenario, the tourism and retail sectors in popular malls in Johor Bahru like City Square and KSL will be affected.
In addition, many reservist units and national servicemen are being recalled for mobilisation exercises.
Many will have no choice but to stay in Singapore.
#5: Malaysians will also be affected
Motorist heading to the Woodlands Checkpoint. Photo: Khalil Adis Consultancy.
In fact, many brave the causeway in the wee hours every morning just to feed their family back home.
As we speak, Johoreans have expressed their concerns that their livelihood in Singapore may be impacted and hope the issue can be resolved amicably.