AN INDEPENDENT PERSPECTIVE


 It's so important to be true to yourself            "
Published on
Picture

On 21 May, Johor’s Sultan Ibrahim Ibni Sultan Iskandar officiated the grand launch and the opening of sales gallery of Bukit Pelali at Pengerang, a 363-acre project that is Pengerang’s first strata township being developed by Johor-based Astaka Holdings Limited. Iskandar Malaysia, situated within Johor, is the most successful out of the five economic corridors in Malaysia. Photo: Astaka Padu

As Iskandar Malaysia surpasses its 10th year as of November 2016, it has continued to defy expectations with these five key achievements

By Khalil Adis

I recall covering Iskandar Malaysia when it was still very much in its early development stage sometime in 2008 as part of a special feature for Property Report.

Hosted by Iskandar Investment Berhad (IIB) and the Iskandar Regional Development Authority (IRDA), I had to wear rubber boots while government officials drove me around in a Land Rover over muddy roads as we cut through dense jungles and oil palm plantations in what is now known as Iskandar Puteri (then called Nusajaya) and Medini.

As we passed by what is now known as EduCity and Legoland I was blown away by the massive scale of Iskandar Malaysia’s development. It was, by far, the single largest development that I had covered when reporting on the ground.

As I headed back to Singapore to file my story, I called a few of my sources comprising analysts, and markets watchers on what they thought of this special economic zone.

“It will fail. Just look at Cyberjaya,” said one.

“Another white elephant project,” quipped another.

However, that all changed in 2011as bilateral ties between both countries started to warm .

That year witnessed Temasek Holdings announcing its investments in two sites in Medini, Iskandar Malaysia, now called Afiniti Medini and Avira.

This was followed with another S$3.2 billion worth of investment to build a township development on Danga A2 island in 2013.

As bilateral ties began to thaw, so did investors’ confidence.

At the peak of the market in 2011, Singaporeans were seen snapping up Iskandar Malaysia properties like hot cakes.

With the market now remaining somewhat muted and with concerns of oversupply, market watchers are again writing off Iskandar Malaysia. 

Whether you like it or not, this “flash in the pan” has indeed come a long way. As Iskandar Malaysia celebrates its tenth year, we look back and list its five major achievements.

Image description
#1 RM227.67 billion in total cumulative committed investment as of 31 March 2017
Not bad. Not bad at all considering the federal had initially invested RM5.8 billion while the manufacturing sector contributed some RM5.5 billion during its initial phase in 2006. Since then, investment volumes have grown by leaps and bounds to reach RM227.67 billion as of 31 March 2017. 
Picture
#2 Return of investment (ROI) of 3,825.34%
Now, let’s work on the ROI. With an initial investment from the federal government at RM5.8 billion in 2006 and a total cumulative committed investment of RM227.67 billion as of 31 March 2017 over a span of some 11.45 years, this works out to an investment gain of RM221.87 with an ROI of  whopping 3,825.34 per cent! In terms of annualised ROI, this works out to 37.79 per cent. This pales in comparison to the paltry 1.0 per cent interest you get when you put your money in your Singapore bank account.

Picture

The Chinese continues to be a force to be reckoned with. Graphics: Khalil Adis Consultancy

#3 The Chinese are coming in a big way with investments of RM24.61 billion 
Bye-bye Singapore, hello China! Our tiny city-state no longer holds dominance as the single largest foreign investor in Iskandar Malaysia. In fact, for the past three years or so, China has been coming in droves and snapping up land parcels from Tanjung Pelepas all the way to Tebrau. The good - state government coffers stand to benefit which will have an indirect impact on Johoreans. The bad - concerns on the sustainability and the possibility of inducing price volatility in the property market once these mammoth projects are completed. 
Picture

Iskandar Malaysia is very much dominated by local players. Graphics: Khalil Adis Consultancy

#4 61% of Iskandar Malaysia’s investments are by the domestic market
While some analysts have expressed concerns on the wave of Chinese investments and their potential repercussions, Iskandar Malaysia is still very much driven by domestic investments. Of the RM227.67 billion in total cumulative committed investment as of 31 March 2017, 61 per cent were driven by the domestic investments. This means, even if a foreign investor were to pull out (as in the case of Dubai’s Mubadala) or during a global economic crisis, Iskandar Malaysia can still hold out on its own due to its sheer domestic investment market size. 
Picture

Iskandar Malaysia's projects are currently only 56 per cent completed. Graphics: Khalil Adis Consultancy

#5 56% investments worth RM138.61 billion have been realised as of 31 March 2017
Enjoy exploring LEGOLAND MALAYSIA or dining by the waterfront at Puteri Harbour? Perhaps some of you have even used your CPF Medisave for your medical treatment at Gleneagles Hospital Medini. Well, these completed projects that you see right now are just the tip of the iceberg. There’s still the remaining 44 per cent that has yet to come on-stream such as Motorsports City, Gerbang Nusajaya and of course the high-speed rail station. Once completed, all these will create around 257,100 additional jobs by 2030 in Iskandar Puteri, according to DTZ Research. 

The key takeaway when investing in Iskandar Malaysia is this - you must be in for the long-haul in order to reap fully from your investment. It’s definitely not a market for those hoping to make a quick buck or for the cash-strapped.
Published on
Picture
Navigating the Malaysian property market can be daunting affair, especially for those just starting out. We list 8 property trends that every investor should watch out for in 2017.

By Khalil Adis

The property market outlook for next year is daunting with a general slowdown expected across all the property markets. From residential to commercial, experts at the recently concluded PropertyGuru 2017 Property Outlook Forum echoed similar sentiment.

“Based on the combined data from the PropertyGuru Property Price Index and official statistics, 2017 is expected to be another slow year for the property market. With the completion of many new developments flooding the market in 2017, there is likely to be a drop in selling price due to the lack of demand; and some may be motivated to move their units quickly due to their lack of holding power,” said Sheldon Fernandez, country manager of PropertyGuru Malaysia. 

Indeed, the property market in Malaysia faces various challenges such as loan rejection by banks, rising costs of living and high unemployment rate among fresh graduates due mainly to their lack of proficiency in the English language.

In the first case, the loan rejections rate in Malaysia stands at around 40 per cent arising mainly due to non-payment of PTPTN (the National Higher Education Fund Corporation) and credit card loans.

In the second case, cost of basic good and necessities in Malaysia have gone up.  

Data from the Statistics Department showed that the country’s consumer price index increased 1.4 per cent in October year-on-year.

This is slightly slower than the previous month's pace.

Government data also showed that there were increase in prices for food, alcoholic and non-alcoholic beverages, tobacco and housing.

Finally, according to the Malaysian Employers Federation (MEF), unemployment among fresh graduates as of February 2016 stands at around 200, 000.

This does not include those who have just completed their diplomas, certificate programmes and Sijil Pelajaran Malaysia (SPM).

Collectively, these factors have had a huge impact on the property sector.

Despite the bleak outlook, not all is gloom and doom in the Malaysian property market. 

In fact, there are still pocket of opportunities to be sought after by savvy investors. 

Here, we list down our top ten property trends to watch out for in 2017.

Trend 1: Below market value homes
One man’s loss is another man’s gain. 

With the sluggish economy, rising cost of living and tighter bank guidelines, home repossessions are on the rise. 

While there is no official data avialable, agents specialising in below market value (BMV) properties  are enjoying brisk business as the supply of such homes come on stream.

This presents a very good buying opportunity for the cash rich buyers as below market value homes come under the hammer.

BMV properties are typically those in the low-cost and medium cost segments

From an investment point of view, buying such properties makes sense as you can buy multiple of distressed assets equivalent to buying one from the primary or resale market.

Due to the lower acquisition costs, your rental yield is higher which ensures you can cover your mortgage (if you are taking a loan) or positive cash flow if you are buying it in cash.

However, due diligence is important so hire a good solicitor and agent to help you buy BMV properties.

Be prepared to cough up extra monies for unpaid maintenance fees, utility bills and quit rent (cukai pintu)

Trend 2: Transit oriented development
I had covered this extensively from my recent article on Propwall.

For more information, please click here

Trend 3: Hotel suites
The shringgit (shrinking ringgit), as what my Malaysian friends call it, does not necessarily spell bad new for the Malaysian economy. 

In fact, the falling ringgit has helped to boost tourism arrivals and spendings, especially from my fellow countrymen in Singapore.

One product you may want to look into is hotel suites.

Good markets to focus on include Melaka, Iskandar Malaysia, Kuala Lumpur and Penang.

Make sure the hotel suites have a proper management arm and are located close to places of attractions and shopping centres.

Trend 4: Retail units
Retail units are closely intertwined with the shringgit and hotel suites as tourists flock to Malaysia as the get more bang for their bucks.

When investing in retail units, make sure you go for reputable developers with a property management arm.

The best development to go for are mixed-use development comprising residences, hotels and retail.

This ensures maximum human traffic patronising your stores.

Again, the good markets to focus on are similar to the one I mentioned above under hotel suites.

Trend 5: Smart and connected liveable townships
Malaysian Gen Ys are a discerning lot and they demand a lot more than just a roof over their heads.

As such, smart and connected (and by that, we mean Wifi) liveable townships are the way to go.

Developers also need to come up with more creative ways to differentiate and add value to their developments by creating a vibrant community.

For example, in 2014, UMLand’s Taman Seri Austin  became the first urban community to be selected for the Smart and HealthyCity and Community Programme by Iskandar Regional Development Authority (IRDA). 

Taman Seri Austin features cycling lanes, pedestrian pathways, and two recreation parks.

Another example is Albury @ Mahkota Hills which features Gen Y friendly facilities like a gym, clubhouse and park connectors.

The development recently hosted a wedding over the weekend at its clubhouse which creates a sense of belonging and camaraderie among its residents.

Trend 6: Short term stays
Airbnb and student accommodations are in demand due to the shringgit and lack of suitable hostels respectively.

When looking at Airbnb, the ideal size would be at least 500 sq ft with a myriad of facilities like cooking, washing machines, microwave oven and so on.

For this concept to work, your property must be located close to tourism attractions like Bukit Bintang, Georgetown and JB Sentral.

One Singaporean friend of mine earns RM10, 000 a month just by renting out his loft unit located within 8 minutes walk from Bukit Bintang MRT station.

Do bear in mind thought that not all management committee in condominiums approve of such short-stay rentals.

Trend 7: Flexible work spaces
Malaysian Gen Ys are an entrepreneurial lot. 

Thanks to government mooted agencies like Cradle Fund and Magix, the start-up culture here is alive and kicking. 

Some of the most notable Malaysian start-ups include Kaodim and iFlix. 

With this trend in mind, flexible work spaces have become ubiquitous. 

Generally referred to as “hot-desking”, this trend is especially suited for those just starting out, are cash-sensitive and require computer access with printing and scanning facilities. 

In Singapore, hot-desking has become such a brisk business.

If you have a spare office space, why not convert some of your area for hot-desking activities and help fellow entrepreneurs? 

You can rent it to on a monthly basis on a per head basis. 

Trend 8: Resale homes
If you need a home urgently, a resale unit is the way to go as they are priced significantly cheaper, at around 30 per cent lower, compared than new launches.

This is due to the massive supply in the market that has contributed to a glut in the market, resulting in softening property prices.

This has made it a buyers market.

Be prepared though to have extra cash in hand as you will need to pay a deposit, legals fees and other costs.

The great thing is this - sellers are more willing to negotiate with you. 

As such, if you have difficulties in your 10 per cent deposit, you can negotiate your payment terms with the landlord.

​Here’s wishing you a prosperous 2017 ahead!

Khalil Adis

An independent analysis from yours truly

Categories