Despite COVID-19 and record housing prices on the island, buying activity in Singapore has remained brisk while Malaysia’s has been somewhat muted.

By Khalil Adis

Ask any Singaporeans if they will invest in Malaysia right now and most likely they will say no.

Instead, Singaporean investors flushed with cash have been busy snapping up properties in the Lion City.

Data from the Urban Redevelopment Authority (URA) showed that in the third quarter of 2021, developers sold 3,550 private residential units, compared with the 2,966 units sold in the previous quarter.

This figure does not include Executive Condominiums.

So what gives?

With COVID-19 travel restrictions, it makes sense to buy a property within Singapore.

Amid the pandemic, news of Singaporeans having their homes broken into in Johor while they were away plus other developments from across the causeway may have spooked potential investors.

From the cancellation of the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore High Speed Rail (KL-Singapore HSR) project to the revision of the Malaysia My Second Home (MM2H) policy, such news is enough to rattle investors’ confidence. 

After all, if a high-level government-to-government project like the KL-Singapore HSR could be terminated, what more for those involving the private sector like housing?

Thus, it came as no surprise that despite its higher property price, buying activity has remained robust within the Lion City with record prices seen in both the HDB and private property markets.

Malaysian developers are also closely watching Singapore’s property market.

Wanting a slice of the lucrative pie, some are considering launching projects in Singapore but are unsure if Singaporeans will bite.

Singapore: Record prices call for curbs to cool the property market

When comparing Singapore’s and Malaysia’s property market performances since the pandemic began, they contrast like day and night, as government data showed.

While properties in Singapore are notorious for being one of the most expensive in the world, it is also seen as a safe haven for property investment due to its political stability, efficiency and transparency.

This may perhaps explain why despite COVID-19, the local property market experienced a bull run.

Data from HDB showed that the Resale Price Index (RPI) for the third quarter of 2021 is now 150.6 points - a record high so far.

This was an increase of 2.9 per cent over that in the second quarter.

Meanwhile, data from the URA, showed that prices of private residential properties increased by 1.1 per cent in the third quarter of 2021, compared with the 0.8 per cent increase in the previous quarter. 

Similarly, the Private Property Index (PPI) is also at a record high.

This had prompted the government to introduce a slew of cooling measures on 15 December 2021.

Malaysia: Pandemic fatigue saw lukewarm buying activity but housing prices continued to rise

Malaysia is one of the few places in the world where foreigners can own a freehold property.

By default, this should make Malaysia a highly sought after investment destination.

However, government data showed otherwise.

Data from the National Property and Information Centre (NAPIC) showed that the Malaysian House Price Index for the third quarter of 2021 was at 198.6 points. 

On a year-on-year and quarter-on-quarter comparison, the index declined by 0.7 and 1.9 points respectively.

Meanwhile, house prices continued to increase from a median price of RM204,470 recorded in 2009 to RM428,458.42 in the third quarter of 2021.

This suggests that while the market has remained somewhat lukewarm, property prices have kept on climbing by a whopping 209.54 per cent in 12 years.

So while locals are priced out from the property market and are not buying, foreigners appear to be staying away too.
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This is despite the strong Singapore dollar versus the Malaysian ringgit.

Severe oversupply of residential units in Malaysia 

It is also worth noting that Malaysia has a severe oversupply problem with 30,358 unsold residential units valued at RM19.80 billion, figures from NAPIC showed.

Of this, the majority of them (6,509 units) are located in Johor, just next to Singapore.

Nation-wide, the majority of them (10,262 units or 33.8 per cent) are priced between RM500,000 to RM1 million - a price point beyond the reach for most Malaysians.

Clearly, majority of the unsold units located in Johor are geared towards foreign buyers.

KL-Singapore HSR resumption is needed to bolster confidence

While COVID-19 has hampered cross border travel, there appears to be light at the end of the tunnel when both countries officially launched the Malaysia–Singapore land Vaccinated Travel Lane (VTL) scheme on 29 November 2021.

Significantly, Malaysian Prime Minister Ismail Sabri is also suggesting reviving the terminated KL-Singapore HSR project during the launch.

As a key regional aviation hub, Singapore offers Malaysia direct access to affluent travellers and potential investors.

The Lion City also has among the highest concentration of high net worth individuals in the world.

With three stops in Johor, it seems almost impossible that the KL-Singapore HSR project could succeed without Singapore’s participation.

Look beyond local politics

Malaysia will need to look at the bigger picture to see that the KL-Singapore HSR project can enhance cross-border investments that will in turn, solve its housing woes.

Rather than viewing Singapore as a rival, Malaysia should see that the KL-Singapore HSR project is a win-win solution for both countries.

The spirit of good neighbourliness and gotong-royong must prevail.

After all, when Iskandar Malaysia was first mooted by former Prime Minister Abdullah Badawi,  Singapore was meant to complement and not compete with Malaysia.

This is something local politicians need to be reminded of time and again.

For now, the only investors Malaysia can bank on are the permanent residents that are still holding Malaysian citizenships in Singapore

A rethink in policy is needed if Malaysia wants to continue attracting foreign investors.

By Khalil Adis

I recall taking part in an international property expo in London in 2018 whereby the Malaysia My Second Home (MM2H) programme was heavily promoted to encourage British citizens to invest in Malaysia.

The expo was held with a Malaysian consulting firm working together with the Tourism Ministry to attract foreign investors to buy a property and retire there.

For many British citizens wanting to escape from the cold London weather, Malaysia appears to be the ideal tropical getaway.

This is despite Malaysia being half a world away and not as well-known as Singapore.

In fact, during my various encounters with locals in London, many are surprised to learn that there are many reputable schools in Malaysia such as Marlborough College Malaysia, University of Reading and Newcastle University of Medicine, just to name a few.

Iskandar Malaysia, in particular, piqued their interest, as some had regularly attended the F1 Night Race in the Lion City.

Close to Singapore but with a relatively affordable cost of living, many had expressed interest in buying a property in Iskandar Malaysia where they have the option of living in Johor while sending their children for quality education in either Singapore or Iskandar Puteri.

Malaysia is seen as attractive due to strength of the British pound versus the ringgit, the affordable property price and one of the few places in the world where foreigners can own freehold property without any restrictions.

Sweeping changes

Fast forward, three years later,  the political landscape in Malaysia has shifted rapidly with three different Prime Ministers within a short span of time.

This has no doubt affected investor’s confidence as they try to make sense of what is going on.

With a change of government, there has also been various tweaks in policies including for the MM2H.
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For example, previously, the minimum sum required for a fixed deposit was RM150,000 for those over 50 and RM300,000 for those under 50 years of age.

However, this has been increased overnight to RM1 million under the sweeping changes that were announced in August 2021.

That is almost a 600 per cent increase.

Foreigners must also prove to have liquid assets of between RM500,000 and RM1.5 million, depending on their age,

On top of that, they must have a monthly offshore income of at least RM40,000.

These policy changes are indeed tone deaf as many livelihoods have been upended since the pandemic started in 2020.

Those who have uprooted to Malaysia will have no choice but to leave the country if they cannot fulfil these new requirements.

It also reaffirms what investor’s already know - Malaysia is known for its flip-flop policy changes.

This may harm the country’s image, investors’ confidence and in turn, affect the property market.

Johor is the worst state in supply overhang

Even before the pandemic began, Johor was already facing a severe supply glut as Chinese developers began to flood the market notably in Danga Bay, Johor Bahru CBD and Forest City.

Still, developers remained optimistic as they continue to bank on the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore High Speed Rail (KL-Singapore HSR) project.

With the project now terminated, the overhang situation in Johor will likely worsen.

According to data from the National Property Information Centre (NAPIC), as of the first quarter of 2021, Johor had the most number of unsold completed residential housing in the whole country at 6,001 units.

This was followed by Selangor and Penang at 3,679 and 4,447 units.

Most notably, homes ranging from RM500,000 to RM1 million made up the majority of the total overhang sector in Malaysia with 9,408 units (34.3 per cent) unsold worth a total of RM6.44 billion.

The serviced apartment sector in Johor fared even worse with 16,537 unsold units majority of which are within the RM500,000 to RM1 million range.

The revised policy changes for the MM2H appears to be the final nail in the coffin for the property market since many developers tie in this programme when marketing their projects overseas.

Some developers and stakeholders say the sweeping changes do not make any sense and will likely kill the property market since foreigners are likely to buy unsold homes ranging from the RM500,000 to RM1 million range.

Federal government needs to consult with stakeholders

Clearly, a rethink in policy is needed if Malaysia wants to continue attracting foreign investors.

Figures from Iskandar Regional Development Authority (IRDA) showed that as of June 2021, Iskandar Malaysia saw the completion of investment projects worth RM7.33 billion between January to April 2021 with 20 per cent involving domestic investors and the other 80 per cent from foreign investors.

According to Datuk Ismail Ibrahim, IRDA’s chief executive, the projects that were approved to be developed in the region in 2020 included those from China, Japan and Singapore.

Overall, IRDA said Iskandar Malaysia’s total cumulative recorded investment reached RM341.4 billion since 2006 to date with 61 per cent of this has been realised.

As we speak, the Sultan of Johor had expressed his displeasure on the flip-flop in policy and requested an immediate review.

For this to be effective, the federal government needs to consult with the local authority, developers, MM2H agents, applicants and real estate agencies as they are closer to the ground.

They also need to sit down with developers and stakeholders in Iskandar Puteri and Medini as they rely heavily on foreign purchasers and investors, especially those from Singapore.

For now, the policy is doing more harm than good.

The iconic project would have benefitted both countries since Malaysia and Singapore are historically intertwined

​By Khalil Adis

Since Malaysian Prime Minister Muhyiddin Yassin rose to power in 2020, the local political landscape has shifted rapidly.

On the one hand, it has deeply polarised Malaysians in what they perceive as a ‘back-door government’.

On the other hand, it has caused seasoned investors and political watchers do a double-take to decipher what is really going on.

Against a backdrop of a pandemic, reports of political infighting, defections and ongoing corruption court cases from the previous administration, Malaysia’s political landscape appears to be a fractured one.

From across the pond though, it looks like Malaysia has it all - a warm, tropical climate, rich in natural resources, a melting pot of different races and cultures and one of the very few countries where you can own freehold property.

However, a quick glance on social media shows that Malaysians are tired about the constant politicking which they feel have hindered the country’s progress.

Foreign direct investment affected by pandemic

So how has Malaysia fared so far?

Figures from the Malaysian Investment Development Authority (MIDA) showed that in 2020, net foreign direct investment (FDI) fell 56 per cent to US$3.4 billion in 2020 due to the Covid-19 pandemic.

Meanwhile, Malaysia’s net FDI inflows stood at RM13.9 billion representing a decline from RM31.7 billion in 2019. 

"Malaysia’s lower net FDI inflows in 2020 is not necessarily an unfavourable sign, when taking into consideration the global investment landscape and the uncertainties that prevailed during the year," said MIDA in  its report.

While Malaysia’s FDI last year was affected by the pandemic, the lack of political will to see through certain projects may affect investors’ confidence.

KL-Singapore HSR project

One such example is the cancellation of the Kuala Lumpur-Singapore High Speed Rail (KL-Singapore HSR) project.

Malaysia and Singapore have since the dawn of time been historically intertwined.

Since many Singaporeans have relatives living in Malaysia and vice versa, the KL-Singapore HSR project would have provided immense benefits as it will allow the flow of goods and investments especially in the hard to reach cities like Seremban, Ayer Keroh, Muar and Batu Pahat.

It would also have provided a much-needed boost for the already muted property market in Iskandar Malaysia by tapping onto Singapore’s position as an international aviation hub and among those living in Kuala Lumpur.

Over in Seremban, the upcoming Malaysia Vision Valley would have benefitted from the train service since transportation connection over there is patchy at the moment.

Spanning from Nilai to Port Dickson and with a proposed area of 108,000 hectares, the Malaysia Vision Valley will see the development of high tech, logistics, education, health, tourism and sports industry.

Should the KL-Singapore HSR project proceed, the Malaysia Vision Valley would be able to tap onto local talents from Kuala Lumpur and from the international market in Singapore.

Likewise, it would have resulted in the flow of investments and skilled workforce to Bandar Malaysia, Singapore and  vice versa.

Sadly, this was not to be.

History repeating itself?

Looking back, one cannot help but feel that the KL-Singapore HSR project’s fate echoes eerily similar to the previous scenario in the 1980s and 1990s which had deterred Singaporeans from investing in Johor.

Similarly, Iskandar Malaysia started out full of promises in 2008 until interest somehow fizzled out sometime in 2016.

Once an investors’ darling, Iskandar Malaysia is now facing a severe housing supply glut which has been further exacerbated by the Movement Control Order (MCO) and travel restrictions.

Meanwhile, Medini, a dedicated special economic zone continues to be a ghost town when night falls.

One source who was involved in the joint-venture project between Singapore and Malaysia had complained about the lack of progress and the lack of political will to make things happen.

Adding to the complication is the powers of the state versus the federal government since land in a state matter.

Such bureaucratic red tapes is bound to create frustration.

The source has since left.

It is worth noting that in July 2019, Pinewood Group pulled out of Iskandar Malaysia Studios (IMS) officially ending their 10-year partnership by mutual agreement with the local partners.

A glimmer of hope

​The only saving grace right now is the Johor Bahru – Singapore Rapid Transit System (RTS) Link.

Slated to commence passenger service by end-2026, the project will link Woodlands North MRT station to Bukit Chagar.

Still, the expected economic spillover impact from the RTS Link is minute when compared to the KL-Singapore HSR project.

Last month, the World Bank Group said Malaysia will need to relook at some of its policies and to rebuild them towards attracting more quality investments into the country that at the same time would provide more jobs for the people.

“There should also be a more coordinated promotion effort to get a higher return of investment and finally, it is important to have continuity in policy and direction as well as structural reforms,” Richard Record, the World Bank Group’s lead economist was reported as saying.

This was in response to a question on how Malaysia could attract more FDI to catch up with countries in the region.

Perhaps, one day, when travel restrictions are lifted, Malaysia will revisit the feasibility of implementing the KL-Singapore HSR project once again.

The COVID-19 pandemic has wreaked havoc in the already muted real estate market. We summarise roundups for 2020 and what market trends to expect in 2021.

​By Khalil Adis

2020 will go down as an unprecedented year as countries around the world are faced with a global pandemic. Malaysia is no different as the Movement Control Order (MCO) and travel restrictions have adversely affected an already dampened market.

According to the National Property and Information Centre (NAPIC), the property market contracted sharply in March and April due to the implementation of the MCO before picking up again in May as restrictions were eased during the Conditional Movement Control Order (CMCO) period.

Here are the highlights for 2020:
#1:. Steep decline in the volume of property transaction across the board

NAPIC’s first half of 2020 data showed that the volume of property transaction declined 27.9% with 115,476 units in the first of the year compared to 160,165 units during the same period last year. Out of this, 75,318 units were those in the residential property sector which recorded a decline of 24.6%.

The steepest decline was recorded in the commercial property sector which saw a 37.4% drop followed by the industrial, agricultural and development land and others at 36.9%t, 32.8 per cent and 28.6% respectively.

It is hardly surprising that the Bank Negara Malaysia revised the Overnight Policy Rate (OPR) four times in 2020 itself to bring down interest rates in order to encourage consumer spending and to facilitate the application of new loans.
#2: Residential overhang continued to increase

The COVID-19 pandemic has seen the oversupply situation in the residential property sector worsening.

According to data from NAPIC, there was a 3.3% (31,661 units) increase in the overhang in residential properties. Out of this, 31.7% are priced below RM300,000. 53.2% comprises high-rise units followed by landed terraced homes (29%), semi-detached & detached (12.4%), low-cost housing (1.6%) and others (3.8%).

High rise units within the price range of RM500,000 to RM700,000 form the bulk of the unsold inventory at 4,144 units. Johor had the highest overhang at 19.5% followed by Selangor at 16.4%.

Meanwhile, serviced apartments (which is classified as commercial property by NAPIC) recorded a 26.5% or 21,683 units increase in overhang. 61.8% are priced above RM700,000. A whopping 73.7% are located in Johor followed by 11.6% in Kuala Lumpur.

#3: Majority of new launches were in the mass market segment

Despite the muted property market, developers continued to launch projects, particularly in the mass market segment. NAPIC’s data showed that 13,294 units of new launches were recorded in the first half of 2020. Of this, 50.1% are priced below RM300,000 while 33.7% are priced between RM300,000 to RM500,000.

Landed properties dominate new launches making up 69.7% of the figure while the remaining 30.3% are stratified properties.

Negeri Sembilan recorded the most launches in the entire country during the period with 2,797 units. This was not surprising as properties that are located away from Kuala Lumpur and Greater Kuala Lumpur are more affordably priced for local home buyers.

#4: Steep decline in office and shopping centre occupancy rates

The MCO had a detrimental effect on office and shopping centre occupancy as many Malaysians are forced to work from home. Private office building saw their occupancy rate plunging 74.3% with only 12.70 sq m of space occupied out of the total space of 17.09 sq m.

Meanwhile, shopping centres experienced the most decline at 76.7%  occupancy rate. Only 9.62 sq m of space were occupied out of the total space of 12.55 sq m.

#5: Malaysian House Price Index records first-ever decline, corrected slightly in Q2 2020

The mismatch between what Malaysians can afford versus what is being offered in the market, combined with the pandemic has further worsened the overhang situation resulting in an extremely muted year for developers.

According to data from NAPIC, the Malaysian House Price Index stood at 198.3 percentage point in Q2 2020 after hitting a peak of 199.7 percentage point in Q12020 – the 0.7% decline is the first-ever one recorded since 2010.

Nevertheless, when compared to Q1 2010 (97.25), the price index recorded an increase of 102.5 to reach 199.7 percentage point during the same period in 2020. This suggests house prices across Malaysia have been skyrocketing over the past 10 years before moderating slightly in the second quarter of 2020.

Moving forward, here are the property market trends we can expect in 2021

#1: Affordable homes priced below RM500,000 will rule the market

As seen from data from NAPIC, majority of the new launches in the first half of 2020 are mass market homes priced below RM500,000. This trend will likely continue in 2021 especially for homes that are located in Greater Kuala Lumpur.

Pricing aside, several Budget 2021 initiatives to further promote homeownership, especially for first-time buyers will spur demand for such homes. For example, the full stamp duty exemption on instruments of transfer and loan agreement for first time home buyers will be extended until 31 December 2025.

The stamp duty exemptions for first residential home has been capped for homes priced RM500,000 and below. This exemption is effective for the sale and purchase agreement executed from 1 January 2021 to 31 December 2025.

As such, we can expect the mass market segment to pick up momentum.

#2: Rent-to-Own Scheme in the private and public housing sectors

​High house prices in Malaysia has resulted in both the private and public housing sectors to roll out innovative measures to make it easy for first-time home buyers. With developers under pressure to move unsold units, many will likely continue to offer attractive discounts, rent-to-own schemes and zero down payments to draw buyers.

Meanwhile, in the public sector, the government will implement a Rent-to-Own Scheme by collaborating with selected financial institutions under Budget 2021. This programme will be implemented until 2022 involving 5,000 PR1MA houses with a total value of more than 1 billion ringgit and is reserved for first-time home buyers.

#3: Occupancy rates for office will continue to decline

​The high daily cases of COVID-19 in the country will have an adverse effect on the office occupancy rate as many companies continue to adopt a work from home policy. As such, we are likely to see their occupancy rates continue to decline until a nationwide vaccination is rolled out.

Data from NAPIC showed that as of the first half of 2020, Kuala Lumpur had the highest purpose-built office existing stock at 9,266,687 units followed by Selangor and Putrajaya at 4,030,791 and 2,525,253 units respectively. Meanwhile, there will be an incoming supply of 1,465,441, 244,290 and 208,391 units in Kuala Lumpur, Johor and Selangor respectively.

Collectively, this will result in downward pressure for the office market. Landlords are likely to lower their asking price to continue securing tenants. Meanwhile, corporate tenants will be spoilt for choice as there will be many good deals in the market.

#4: Uncertain time for shopping centres

​In Q42020, several COVID-19 cases have been detected at notable shopping centres in Kuala Lumpur/Greater Kuala Lumpur such as at Nu Sentral, 1 Utama, The Gardens Mall (TGM), Mid Valley Megamall (MVM) and Bangsar Shopping Centre.

Consumer precaution will trickle into 2021 and this will have an impact on footfall as many stay away from shopping malls while the tourism market continues to suffer due to travel restrictions, further limiting footfalls from tourists and holiday-makers.

Similar to the office sector, the shopping centre market will be very challenging. We will likely see the further closure of some outlets resulting in increasing vacancy rates.

NAPIC’s data showed that as of the first half of 2020, Selangor had the highest shopping complex existing stock at 3,712,375 units followed by Kuala Lumpur and Johor at 3,131,431 and 2,452,258 units respectively. Meanwhile, there will be an incoming supply of 639,508, 480,125 and 167,779 units in Kuala Lumpur, Selangor and Melaka respectively.

This article was first published on iProperty Malaysia.

A combination of COVID-19, an oversupply in residential properties and a lukewarm economy have made it a buyer’s market.

By Khalil Adis

Buying a property in Malaysia is a complex process unlike in Singapore.

Being a small country, one can rely on the Urban Redevelopment Authority’s (URA) masterplan to check for planning developments that will be taking place in the next 30 to 40 years.

In Malaysia, however, such information is scant making property buying an arduous and risky process.

When looking to buy a property, you should target the most affordable property but with the greatest potential for capital appreciation. 

How can you do that? Easy, simply by applying the following 5Cs:

#1: Check the masterplan

A masterplan would typically define a township’s development in the next one to two decades. 

​It would also showcase the different designated land use and transportation plans within that particular township. 

An area deemed highly desirable will attract businesses and residents. 

Think about why properties in KLCC and Bukit Bintang are expensive whereas other areas like Bukit Beruntung are not popular. 

With this in mind, you should find out as much as possible about your new neighbourhood.

 #2: Check the transport masterplan

Generally, properties close to transportation hubs such as MRT or LRT stations can command a premium of between five and 10 per cent over the long term.

This is because people generally want to live close to transportation hubs explaining why Transit Oriented Developments (TODs) have become very popular in KL and Greater KL.

This demand translates to an appreciation of one’s property. 

​Are there MRT or LRT stations that are being planned in your area? What about expressways?  

Study the upcoming Sungai Buloh-Serdang-Putrajaya (SSP Line) and LRT Bandar Utama–Klang Line (Klang Valley LRT Line 3) prior to your property purchase.


#3: Check budget allocation from the government

​ Government policies do have an indirect impact on a property. 

For example, budget allocation for improvements in public infrastructure and new economic drivers will have an impact on new and existing homes in and around the vicinity. 

So check where the government is building new hospitals and so on. 

One good example is the development of the Malaysia Vision Valley in Negri Sembilan.

#4: Check for economic drivers

Have you ever wondered why properties in KLCC are so expensive?

This is because it is home to a number of industries such as petrochemical, banking, finance, tourism and so on. 

The best strategy is to buy in an area that is not yet developed but where there are plans for various economic drivers. 

A government-mooted economic corridor or a reputable developer that has experience in building townships are great indicators if the area will succeed or not. 

#5: Check for job creation

 This is like feeling someone’s pulse. 

You need to check if the township you are eyeing for is going to be a ghost town or a happening place. 

If it is the former, perhaps you should stay away. 

If it is the latter, more and more workers will be drawn there, becoming a magnet for people and a hive of activity. 

People are the lifeblood of a neighbourhood.

As the area becomes highly desirable, people will naturally want to live and work in and around the vicinity. 

As there is an increase in demand, property prices in that area will also rise.

That is how a property appreciates over time.
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Good luck in your property hunt!

As Malaysia eases its Movement Control Order (MCO), the Malaysian property market is set for a major reboot as COVID-19 will forever change the way the industry operates. Here are our top eight predictions.

By Khalil Adis

The Malaysian economy has bucked the trend growing by 0.7 per cent in the first quarter of 2020 from the 3.6 per cent growth in the previous quarter, data from the Department of Statistics Malaysia (DOSM) showed. 

However, the coronavirus pandemic has wreaked havoc in the job market with the unemployment rate increasing to 3.5 per cent compared to the 3.2 per cent recorded in the previous quarter.

"The increase in the unemployment rate was mainly attributed to the adverse impact of the Movement Control Order (MCO) on the labour market," said chief statistician Dato' Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin

Meanwhile, employed persons in Malaysia increased to 1.6 per cent to 15.24 million persons in the first quarter of 2020.

The DOSM noted that the highest unemployment rate in Malaysia was in 1986 at 7.4 per cent.

Meanwhile, Bank Negara's Economic and Monetary Review 2019 stated that Malaysia's GDP growth is projected to be between -2.0 per cent to 0.5 per cent this year.

Noting that 2020 is "an exceptionally challenging year for the global economy", Bank Negara said global growth is expected to contract.

"While the Movement Control Order and measures to promote social distancing will dampen economic activity temporarily, they are necessary to contain the spread of the virus," Bank Negara said in a statement.

In terms of the construction sector, DOSM's data showed that it contracted 7.9 per cent from 1.0 per cent in the preceding quarter.

This is the lowest growth since the second quarter of 1999.

Moving forward, Dato' Sri Dr. Mohd Uzir Mahidin predicted that Malaysia is projected to record an unemployment rate of between 3.5 per cent and 5.5 per cent this year due to the impact from COVID-19

With the World Health Organization warning that COVID-19 "may never go away", a new normal in the property sector will emerge influencing how Malaysians will live, work and play.

Here are our top eight predictions arising from COVID-19:

#1: Property market will be extremely muted in 2020

The uncertainty arising from COVID-19 will have an impact on consumer spending. 

Malaysia is expected to enter a recession this year resulting in job losses.

As such, consumers will prefer to hold on to cash amid the uncertainties ahead.

This will likely worsen the supply glut that Malaysia is already experiencing at the moment.

According to data from the National Property and Information Centre (NAPIC), as of 2019, Malaysia has an existing stock of 5,727,814 residential units.

In addition, it has an incoming supply and planned supply of 443,161 units and 441,309 units respectively bringing the total supply to a whopping 6,612,284 units.

Developers with unsold inventory, especially in the medium to high-end segment, will be faced with a double whammy.

They either have to drop prices to entice local buyers or continue to bleed as border controls imposed in the country means foreign investors are not allowed to enter Malaysia to view properties.

Either way, the prognosis does not look very good for the market.

Developers with strong branding, cash flow and who are offering affordable homes for locals will come out as winners amid this pandemic.

As we speak, some developers are currently rolling out Ramadan and Hari Raya packages with a low deposit of RM1,000 to continue enticing buyers.

However, whether or not buyers will be able to get a bank loan is another matter altogether.

#2: Office space demand will decrease 

As businesses cut costs and working from home becomes the new norm, we can also expect a glut in office space supply to increase, particularly for Grade 'A' office.

According to data from NAPIC, as of 2019, Malaysia has an existing stock of 2, 549 office buildings with 22, 590, 473 sq m of space.

As more companies adopt the remote working model for good, existing office buildings will need to reconfigure their current space to factor in social distancing requirements.

Operators of coworking spaces and landlords will thus need to refurbish existing office spaces to continue attracting tenants.

New health requirements such as temperature takings and hand sanitisers may also translate to higher operating costs.

Meanwhile, developers with incoming and planned office supply in the pipeline will need to go back to the drawing board to redesign their office plans resulting in reduced floor density.

Data from NAPIC showed that Malaysia has an incoming and planned office supply of 51 buildings (2, 378, 131 sq m) and 15 buildings (398, 944) respectively as of 2019.

This sector will face downward pressure in their asking prices as more companies adopt a work from home policy.

Overall, the vacancy rate across Malaysia is expected to increase, further exacerbating the supply glut in the office market.

Developers who have already secured corporate tenants for upcoming office buildings in Kuala Lumpur such as Tun Razak Exchange (TRX) and Merdeka 118, before COVID-19 struck, are likely to emerge stronger from the crisis.

#3: Construction costs will increase due to late delivery of projects

The MCO restrictions have resulted in construction delays across all sectors of the property market.

During the MCO, construction sites were closed while materials which were sourced from overseas were impacted from the shut down of the global supply chain.

With the MCO now eased, construction has now restarted but with temperature screenings, staggered working hours and social distancing in place.

With construction now delayed by two to three months and with new safety requirements, we can expect construction costs to increase.

This will likely be passed on to consumers.

Whether or not such new projects can attract buyers with a higher per sq ft price remains to be seen due to the uncertainty in the economy and the job market.

Buyers with cash in hand may instead look to the secondary market where prices are more realistic.

#4: Tourism, food & beverage, transportation, travel, retail and hotel industries will be adversely affected

The MCO has seen a knock-off effect on the tourism, food & beverage, travel, retail and hotel sectors due to international and local travel restrictions.

According to the Malaysian Association of Hotels (MAH), approximately 15 per cent of hotels in the country may have to shut down their operations.

Data from NAPIC showed that as of 2019, Malaysia has an existing stock of 3,404 hotels with 266, 972 rooms.

Several of these hotels, located in tourism hot spots such as Kuala Lumpur, Ipoh and Melaka, have now ceased operations or are in the process of being auctioned off.

With a planned and incoming supply of 114 hotels with 24,161 rooms and 74 hotels with 14,810 rooms respectively, we can expect demand for the hotel sector to remain muted.

As it is, hotel operators are already facing stiff competition face from owners of Airbnb units.

So, until a vaccine is found, the hotel and Airbnb sectors will continue to bleed.

For hotels that are in the planned and incoming supply, they are faced with a dire situation to continue operations but where demand from tourists are far and few between.

It remains to be seen whether the construction of such hotels will continue or if they will be cancelled altogether.

Either way, they will be likely operating in the red.

The only exception is hotels which have been gazetted as quarantine areas.

For Airbnb owners, you might want to convert your units to long-term leases or student accommodations in the time being.

#5: Retail sector will see many businesses cease operations

While shopping centres can now operate, the damage is already done.

The MCO that kicked in on  March 18 means that businesses are greatly impacted as malls are forced to closed.

Combined with running overheads such as cleaning costs, rent, wages, refurbishing damaged goods and other operating costs, shop owners are under great financial stress to either continue operation or wind down their business for good.

Either way, human traffic will not return to normal due to social distancing requirements.

As such, we can expect small to medium retail outlets and F&B outlets, particularly those leasing spaces at high-end malls to shutter.

Instead, they will switch to online shopping.

#6: Digital-related, food, healthcare, pharmaceutical and wellness sectors will thrive

Digital-related sectors such as online shopping, delivery, technology and website hosting will thrive amid the pandemic as working from home now becomes the new norm.

Developers and agents will need to adapt to changing market situation via contactless procedures such as conducting online viewings and meetings to close sales.

For instance, online property portals such as iProperty.com are coming up with innovative ways to help their clients sell property online.

In a post-pandemic world, Zoom meetings have now become ubiquitous.

This is also an ideal time for individuals to start a side hustle such as small home-based business selling cookies online to supplement their income

COVID-19 also means increased demand for food, healthcare, pharmaceutical and wellness industries.

On March 27 2020, the Malaysian government announced a second stimulus package to combat COVID-19.

For instance, an extra RM500 million has been allocated to purchase medical equipments, such as ventilators, personal protective, lab and ICU equipments.

Meanwhile, another RM1 billion is allocated for the purchase of medical equipment and expertise from private healthcare services.

#7: Tenants from healthcare industry will drive the rental market

With RM1.5 billion in total allocated to support the healthcare sector, this presents good news for investors who are holding on to vacant Airbnb units or landlords who are located close to such industries to seek out such tenants.

Having said that, the rental market in Malaysia is very soft at the moment so the rental income may or may not cover your mortgage. 

As data from NAPIC showed earlier, Malaysia has an existing stock of 5,727,814 residential units as of 2019.

This will increase in 2020 arising from the supply from incoming and planned units.

While some investors may have to top up cash,  having a negative cash flow is better than leaving your units untenanted.

Investors should seize this opportunity. 

#8: 2020 is about business consolidation

​As long as there is no vaccine found, business activities will never return to normal.

Forget about whatever business plans that you have planned in 2019.

Instead, brace yourself for a long, cold, winter ahead.

Consolidation will be the new normal for this year as many developers and industry players will focus on conserving cash.

Leveraging on digital technology will be the new norm.

We can expect pay cuts, hiring freezes and retrenchments as businesses cut losses on non-revenue generating departments.

We have already seen certain developers doing this and establishing working from home permanently.

This is the time to learn a new skill, read books and focus on self-development to continue staying relevant in your respective fields.

Despite its focus on the digital economy, the budget is a regressive one for both local and foreign buyers

By Khalil Adis

Another year, another budget.

This year is no different except that they were announced against a backdrop of the ongoing global trade wars and a general slowdown in the global economy.

While the Malaysian government has announced several measures to spur its economy specifically in the digital arena, Malaysia is likely to ride through the current economic climate largely unscathed as it has a strong domestic economy, unlike Singapore.

As such, I will focus solely on those affecting the property market.

From the looks of it, the measures appear to be cosmetic to address the shortcomings and mess left behind by the previous government.

Foreigners and Malaysians at the losing end

Call it a band-aid if you will but the budget seems regressive by bringing us back to the Budget 2014 and 2016 eras for foreign investors and locals buyers respectively.

Let us look back at Budget 2014.

During this period, the minimum purchase price for foreigners buying a property in Malaysia was raised from RM500,000 to RM 1 million.

This was to prevent a property bubble from forming in the market and thus preventing Malaysians from buying such properties.

Well, guess what?

The situation got even worse despite this measure as there were no checks and balances in place by the Housing Ministry.

As such, developers were at the free reign to build units that local could not buy resulting in a huge glut that we are seeing right now.

To reduce the overhang, Budget 2020 now allows foreigners to buy completed and unsold units that are priced above RM600,000.

So what happens to foreigners who had bought a property at RM1 million and are now looking to sell?

Most probably, due to the current market conditions, they will now be selling at a loss to either a local or a foreign buyer.

Also, they will now have to compete directly with the primary market where foreigners can buy at a steep discount of RM400,000 (RM1 million - RM600,000) directly from developers.

This mixed signal could potentially deter foreign investors from buying property in Malaysia.

Verdict: Foreign sellers: 0, foreign buyers: 1*
*it remains to be seen if subsequent budgets will see a change in the minimum purchase price across the various states in Malaysia.

Next, let us take a look at Budget 2016 in the affordable housing segment for Malaysian buyers.

Previously, under Barisan Nasional, the government had announced that it was building PR1MA homes across various states during Budget 2016.

There were also promises to build such homes that are planned around transport hubs and train stations in Kuala Lumpur.

Back then, the government had announced that a total of 5,000 units of PR1MA and PPA1M houses will be built in the vicinity of LRT and monorail stations in 10 locations, including Pandan Jaya, Sentul and Titiwangsa.

Fast forward four years later, PR1MA has become a massive liability for the government.

As we speak, PR1MA is undergoing restructuring and is nowhere close to the lofty 1 million housing units it had previously promised to deliver.

Meanwhile, there is still no news on the 5,000 transit-oriented development units (TODs).

This leaves Malaysians who are in dire need of affordable homes stranded.

From the looks of it, they are now back to square one with another new policy in place to replace the old one.

A new budget for local buyers

As part of Budget 2020, the government will collaborate with financial institutions in introducing various schemes. 

The first is the Rent To Own (RTO) financing scheme.

This scheme aims to assist those who cannot afford the initial 10 per cent deposit and access to financing in purchasing their homes.

This scheme, however, is not new and has been in place among private developers.

As such, Malaysian buyers who had hoped for a roof over their heads during Budget 2016 are better off buying from private developers.

Verdict: Malaysian buyers: 0, private developers: 1*

*Imagine the agony among those who had applied for PR1MA homes and are still waiting. If I were a Malaysia, it seems buying from a private developer is the way to go.

*It is an open secret that there are many Malaysians who had previously applied under this scheme are still waiting for their homes. Just speak to any Grab drivers.

Conclusion

​While many other schemes are being rolled out such as Fund for Affordable Home that was launched by Bank Negara Malaysia in January 2019 and the Youth Housing Scheme, they remain under the umbrella of various government agencies.

As such, this could be very confusing for the first-time homebuyers who are unsure how to navigate the market.

What would work is for Malaysia to streamline them under one single government housing agency just like Singapore’s HDB model.

Just last week, it was announced in the media that Perbadanan PR1MA Malaysia, a public housing agency which was established under the Barisan Nasional government may be dissolved as it is in a “mess”. The final decision on whether PR1MA projects should be continued is pending a due diligence report, which is expected to be completed end of this month.


For years, the PR1MA initiative has received lashbacks from various stakeholders and the general public for its inefficient implementation. 


I recall researching about PR1MA when I was writing my second book.  

The 1Malaysia People’s Housing Programme or PR1MA was launched in July 2011 and incorporated under the PR1MA Act in 2012. It became operational in March 2013 and to qualify, applicants will need to have a single or combined household income of between RM2,500 to RM15,000 per month.


I couldn’t help thinking how the hoopla around an announced PR1MA initiative usually fizzles out after some time, with no proper project updates disseminated to the public. 


For instance, under Budget 2016 that the government promised that it will build 5,000 units of houses under PR1MA and 1Malaysia Civil Servants Housing Programme (PPA1M) in 10 locations in the vicinities of light rail transit and monorail stations, including in Pandan Jaya, Sentul and Titiwangsa.


However, a quick check on PR1MA’s website does not show any such projects except for one in Brickfields, Fraser Business Park and Bukit Jalil respectively. 

​In addition, my interviews with young Malaysians while taking Grab and Uber show a great mismatch in what the government is saying – where many had said they had applied for the housing scheme, but they have yet to receive any official reply from PR1MA.

Here are some circumstances that may have led to PR1MA’s failure


#1: Lack of single housing agency to manage the affordable housing market

While on paper this may sound ideal, it is not so easy in reality as land is a state matter.

As such, federal-initiated programmes like PR1MA will likely face bureaucratic red tapes and are less likely to receive priority when applying for the release of state land.​

YB Zuraida Kamaruddin, Minister of Housing and Local Government (KPKT) recently shared that it is the responsibility of the state governments to offer up their spacious lands for the development of affordable housing. However, as of end-2018, only 27 plot of lands out of the total 127 for affordable housing projects around the country, were supplied by state governments.

Let’s not forget that the state and federal governments may have different objectives which can further complicate matters.

#3: Costly to acquire land

Considering the challenge in securing land from respective state governments, the federal government would have to acquire them from private parties at a hefty cost.


As land cost takes up a significant percentage of a project’s cost, this will inevitably drive up the cost of building affordable homes.


Thus, it is hardly surprising that previous PR1MA projects were mostly built in undesirable locations, where homebuyer demand is low.

#4: Far-flung location with sub-par connectivity

Buying a home will be your single most expensive investment in your life and these are the most common mistakes you should avoid. 

By Khalil Adis

Buying your first home is an exciting experience that will have you go through a range of roller-coaster emotions.

From scouting for the right property to securing a loan, the procedures are endless that it is so easy to lose sight of what is important:

#1: Buying based on emotions

Buying a property based on emotions can cause you to gloss over some of its inherent shortcomings.

It is like falling in love in someone gorgeous until they start to open their mouth.

The initial phase may elicit a response such as exhilaration over its interior design finishing and then imagining how it would be like to sit in front of that bay window in that sleek glasshouse apartment.

However, your emotions can bite you back over the long run as such a home will result in hefty utility bills in the long term.

When buying a property, you should make calculated decisions by asking yourself these basic questions:

Is the property priced fairly? 

Do your market research to find out what is the average price per sq ft of the property in the vicinity. This is important as it will ensure your property can have room for capital appreciation in the future. 

Are there nearby amenities like schools, hospitals and train stations? 

This will make the area desirable and attract people to want to live, work and play there. As demand increases, it will attract a significant population leading to the capital appreciation of your property. If you want to start a family, these are important considerations.

Can the property be rented out or sold in the future? 

There will be some point in your life that you may end up as a landlord or a seller. Therefore, you must put yourself in the position of a tenant or a buyer by really looking at the property for what it is. As such, check if there any defects that may affect its future rentability or value. It is a good idea to upkeep your property to ensure all the electrical points and sanitary appliances are working while giving it a fresh coat of paint every year. You might also want to look at your interior design, layout and colour schemes and see if they will appeal to potential tenants or buyers. 

#2: Buying a house facing East-West orientation

You should avoid buying a house that is facing the East-West orientation as it is directly exposed to the afternoon sun and therefore increases the heat gain. During night time, the concrete walls will radiate back the heat to your home leading to higher utility bills from your air-conditioning unit. Instead, you should go for a home that is facing North-South orientation. Do also ensure there is cross-ventilation from one end of the house to another to encourage natural air flow. 

#3: Buying an odd-sized unit

An oddly sized unit refers to a layout which has odd corners like a triangle or irregularly shaped like an oval or circle.

Such homes have an inefficient layout meaning that it will result in wasted space which cannot be utilised.

It is also bad in terms of feng shui should the odd corners have an acute angle as they will collect energy that cannot be dispersed.

Instead, you should opt for a regularly shaped unit like a square or rectangle.

Remember this golden rule when it comes to a home layout: boring equals good.

#4: Buying a common unit versus one that is scarce

This is especially applicable for the property market in Malaysia where there is a severe oversupply of homes particularly in Johor and Kuala Lumpur.

When buying a home, you should opt for a unit that is scarce.

You should first study the development carefully and the unit types that are available.

For example, in a project where 4-bedroom greatly outnumber 2-bedroom units, you should opt for the latter.

This is because such units will be easier to offload in the resale market should you wish to sell or rent it out in future.

Of course, you must take into consideration your family size before making the final decision.

#5: Not asking about your prospective neighbours

A neighbour can make or break your property.

This is especially true if you are buying a resale home.

Recently, a friend confided how he had to move out from his current home to rent another place in eastern Singapore.

He had bought the HDB flat from the resale market from an owner who appeared desperate to sell it off.

“Don’t tell the neighbour downstairs how much I sold this house,” the owner said ominously.

This should have been a red flag.

After moving in, he realised his neighbour downstairs would often make a din throughout the entire day.

Sometimes, he would have the police knocking on his door as the neighbour had complained about him for no reason.

This caused him and his family so much distress that the neighbour’s mom had to come up to explain and apologise for her son’s erratic behaviour.

Apparently, her son suffers from a mental illness.

After talking to his neighbour, he realised the previous owner was not on good terms with the entire family.

This explains their decision to sell the flat.

While he now lives a quieter life elsewhere, his tenants are now at the receiving end of the neighbour’s constant abuse.

For example, recently, he received a call from the HDB complaining about the apparent noises from his unit.

Thankfully, the HDB and the police are aware of his problematic neighbour and have since closed the case.

Unfortunately, you cannot choose your neighbours if you had bought a new home directly from the HDB or developer.

However, you can mitigate your risks by being a good neighbour.

For instance, why not offer a serving of cookies or cakes during your festive celebration?

While your actions may not be reciprocated, a friendly hello on your neighbour’s door and offering such goodies will certainly go a long way in making a good first impression last.

Neighbours do talk so why not give them something good to talk about?

​With the Chinese New Year approaching, what better way to soak in the festivity than exploring Kuala Lumpur’s historic Chinatown district? 

By Khalil Adis

Whether you love it or hate it, Kuala Lumpur’s Chinatown district has a colourful personality that attracts both Malaysians and tourists alike. While Malaysians lament about the loss of its authenticity and some have chosen to avoid it altogether, this vibrant area has its own quirks that make it oh-so-charming thanks to the many rustic shophouses. Here is a quick guide on exploring Chinatown.

#1: Plaza Rakyat LRT station

Plaza Rakyat LRT station is an elevated station along the Ampang and Sri Petaling Line. Situated next to a massive proposed mixed-use development that has since been abandoned, the whole area unfortunately reeks of urban decay. Once you exit from the station you will likely come across the occasional beggars and the rancid smell emanating from the air - not for the faint-hearted.  Taking the LRT station is ideal if you intend to head to Menara Maybank or to savour the street food at Jalan Sultan as it is located within the vicinity.

#2: Pasar Seni MRT station

Pasar Seni MRT Station is an underground station that is integrated with the existing Pasar Seni LRT station serving the Kelana Jaya LRT Line. Located in the heritage area of Chinatown, Pasar Seni is located within walking distance to backpackers’ lodges, boutique hotels and the tourist trap flea marts of Petaling Street. 

There are plans to also connect the station to the iconic Central Market. An added feature is a bus interchange located just above the station that will connect buses from Kuala Lumpur to Petaling Jaya. 

#3: Petaling Street

Petaling Street is a must visit street if you want to buy branded knock-offs ranging from bags to watches. Ironically, while this is the heart of Chinatown, the vendors selling the wares are mostly foreigners comprising Bangladeshi workers. The imitation watches, in particular, are rather pricey and do not last long. You are better off buying the real deal while taking in the rampant piracy that occurs along this stretch. 

#4: Pasar Karat

Known locally as ‘Thieves Market’, Pasar Karat is a treasure trove for antique and trinket lovers as well as the occasional luxury goods that are believed to have been stolen. From Montblanc luggage bags to second-hand electronic goods, Pasar Karat is KL’s version of the now-defunct Singapore’s Sungei Road. Pasar Karat is open in the wee hours of the morning at around 4 am and shuts down by 10 am. Be sure to come early before the goods run out.

#5: Food street at Jalan Sultan

Located within the Petaling Street enclave, the food street comes alive at night with a serving of local Malay dishes, mamaks as well as Chinese cuisines in a fuss-free alfresco setting. If the dark and dirty alley makes your stomach turn, fret not as you can opt to dine at the slightly upmarket Nando’s or KFC located nearby.

#6: Weng Hoa Flower Boutique
No 1 Lorong Hang Lekir
Off Jalan Hang Lekir
50000 Kuala Lumpur
Malaysia
Website: www.wenghoa.com/home​
Opening hours: 8 am to 10 pm

Forget overpriced flowers sold at upmarket malls. Instead, head here for fresh plants and roses sold at wholesale prices! There are even ready-made bouquets for you to choose from. Ladies and wedding planners will definitely find delight in the freezer room located at the back of the shop where you can choose from the many arrays of local and exported roses as well as other exotic flowers. In addition, you can buy flower petals and kaffir lime to cleanse your chakras for that montly flower bath ritual. For the freshest produce, head here when the store opens.

#7: Central Market
Lot 3.04-3.06, Central Market Annexe, 
Jalan Hang Kasturi, 
50050 Kuala Lumpur.
Malaysia
Website: www.centralmarket.com.my​
Telephone: 03-2031 0399/5399/7399 

Central Market is the place to go to for slightly upmarket goods within an air-conditioned environment. Housed within an art deco facade, Central Market first started out as a wet market in 1888 but has since been repurposed as a one-stop centre for Malaysian batik, souvenirs, collectables and handicraft. From textiles to tableware, the choices are endless. 

#8 Kasturi Walk

​Kasturi Walk is located alongside the main Central Market building. This newly transformed, pedestrianised and covered walkway features an al fresco ambience with a wide variety of stalls selling local snacks and exquisite souvenirs.

Summary

Price: According to Brickz, the median price for office buildings and shophouses here are around RM858 per sq ft and RM1,056 per sq ft respectively.

The good: Buying a property here will mean constant human traffic from both locals and tourists alike as Chinatown is rich in popular tourism landmarks such as Central Market and Petaling Street. The quaint rows of heritage shophouses house hip boutique hotels to quirky cafes and restaurants that attract the cool, creative type. The area is also a haven to some of KL’s famous hawker food such as Shin Kee Beef Noodle near to Central Market and the birthplace of Hokkien mee, Restoran Kim Lian Hee located at the junction of Jalan Petaling and Jalan Hang Lekir. All these attractions make it suited for Airbnb type of accommodations. 

The bad: ​If you intend to buy a property here, you are only limited to office buildings or shophouses. Land here is extremely scarce and there are no existing or future residential projects in the pipeline. As such, this area is a no go for most investors unless you are an institutional investor or have deep pockets.